Battleground Super Tuesday: Texas

The big prize today will be Texas. It's the biggest state in both parties, and the delegate haul is very rich for the winner. With that said the two parties have very different primaries. Here's the outlook:

Democrats:
The Democratic Primary is driven by several different "base" votes. In San Antonio, El Paso, along the Rio Grande, and to some extent Houston are all largely driven by Latino votes. Austin has a more white liberal crowd that will show up tomorrow. Dallas and some of the other urban centers have sizable African-American votes. Rural Texas has a "Willie Nelson" breed of Democrat out there too.

Hillary Clinton is favored because this is a largely non-white primary. She seems to be a good fit for this state on the whole. She should run strong in San Antonio, El Paso, along the Rio Grande, and in Dallas. Bernie may be able to run up the score in Austin and in some rural Texas areas. Houston seems like a bit of a wild card.

Republicans:
The Republican Party's primary is huge as well, but it's a polar opposite kind of primary. It is much whiter, very conservative, and older. Ted Cruz is the state's home Senator, and he's likely to win tomorrow according to the polls. Even so, he has not dominated the way he was expected here, and he will fall short of the 50% tomorrow he needed to win all the delegates. If he indeed falls short of 50%, and Marco Rubio doesn't hit the 20% minimum-threshold to win any share of the delegates, Donald Trump is likely to walk out of Texas a very happy second place finisher.