An Updated Look at the Presidential Race

Last night was a good night for Donald Trump. It was also a good night for Ted Cruz. Hillary Clinton did just fine last night, but Bernie Sanders had a nice night too. It was not a decisive night, not like last Tuesday. It kind of left both races in flux.

Donald Trump won "winner-take-all" Arizona, and it's 58 delegates last night. He took a huge step towards winning the nomination in the process. Ted Cruz had to win Utah, and he did, but he went a step further. By winning with 69.2%, Cruz got all 40 delegates from Utah. While Trump won the delegate count for the night, Cruz can claim some momentum going into Wisconsin. The only loser on the night was John Kasich, who won zero delegates last night. His dream of a "brokered-convention" is looking more bleak today. The current delegate count:

• Donald Trump 739 Ted Cruz 465 John Kasich 143; 1,237 needed for victory (Trump needs 498).

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders certainly won the night, but not by the kind of margin he needs. Bernie won Utah by a 79.7-19.8%, at this hour (still 19% out). He also won Idaho by a 78-21.2% margin. Hillary Clinton did win Arizona by a healthy 57.8-39.8% margin (at this hour as well, 3.5% still out). At this hour, Bernie Sanders won last night by 9 delegates, with a few more to be awarded. That's a bit better than I expected, but I also expected him to finish about 20% lower than he did in both Utah and Idaho. So while Hillary did not win the night by 5, as I predicted, the overall result is not a huge change. By winning with 80% instead of 60% in two states that favored him to begin with, Bernie Sanders changed the math by a net of 14 delegates. If he wants to win, he'll have to do that a lot more, and win some of the big states out ahead pretty handily. Even so, he had a very good night, and is happier to win by 9 than lose by 5, i'm sure. The delegate count, at this hour:

• Elected Delegate Count- Hillary Clinton 1,214 Bernie Sanders 911 (Clinton +303)
• Super Delegate County- Clinton 467 Sanders 26 (Clinton +441)
• Overall Count- Hillary Clinton 1,681 Bernie Sanders 937 (Clinton +744); 2,383 needed for victory (Clinton needs 702 additional delegates).

On Saturday, the Democratic race continues in Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington. The Republican race continues in Wisconsin next month.