- Elected Delegates: Hillary Clinton 1,223 Bernie Sanders 920 (Clinton +303)
- Super Delegates: Hillary Clinton 467 Bernie Sanders 26 (Clinton +441)
- Overall Delegate Count: Hillary Clinton 1,690 Bernie Sanders 946 (Clinton +744)
Clinton needs 2,383 delegates to win the race. She is 693 away, overall. There are 2,129 remaining delegates out there. She needs about 32.55% of the remaining delegates to win. While the Sanders supporters out there like to dismiss her super delegate lead, they are part of the process, and as a result she should reach 2,383 by June. Sanders must make up the 303 delegate deficit he has amongst elected delegates, plus enough more to convince elected party leaders to switch over. I don't see that happening at this stage. She has several wins ahead of her yet. If Bernie's going to make up the margin, that will have to begin this Saturday with a big win in all three of Washington, Hawaii, and Alaska.
And for the GOP:
- Donald Trump 739 Ted Cruz 465 John Kasich 143 (Trump +274)
Nothing has changed since yesterday here. Donald Trump needs 1,237 delegates to win, and there are 944 more available. Trump is now 498 away. Trump must win 52.75% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination on the first ballot. While that is not an easy number, no other candidate has any pathway to win on the first ballot. MSNBC is reporting that Trump will sit at 755 once all results still out are counted (seems high to me), which doesn't wildly change the math at all. The bottom line is that Trump is either going to get the nomination, or come the closest by a lot. If he falls short by a small margin, it would seem very difficult to get all the other delegates to agree on any other candidate in order to win. That may be true even if he falls 200 delegates short. I can see a possibility for Cruz to get there, but it will be hard.
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