Republicans:
Just a few weeks ago, the first poll in months showed Ted Cruz leading a close race against Donald Trump and Marco Rubio. Ben Carson still was polling 11%, and several candidates were still in the race then that aren't now. One could argue that the last poll is outdated, but that is cold-comfort for Cruz now- he probably needs this state.
Neighboring states and national polls show Trump rallying. One could say he's expected to win here. I don't know that we have any clue who comes out with this win. Between the likely drop in Carson, other candidates dropping out, and the events of the last month, I doubt the polling from 2/4 is current. This is probably a fairly close race between Trump, Cruz, and Rubio.
Democrats:
I would be shocked if Hillary Clinton doesn't win this state fairly easily. I'd expect she comes close to 60% too. With that said, the state has changed a lot since 1992. Expect Clinton to win a lot of votes along the Mississippi River and in the Little Rock areas, areas with high percentages of African-Americans. Bernie Sanders probably will win some places here, but nowhere with a concentration of Democrats that is large enough to change the race much.
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