Wednesday, March 9, 2016

Nice Michigan Win for Bernie- Hillary Won the Night Though

Last night, Bernie Sanders won a tremendous victory in Michigan. It's the biggest state he's won to date, and he was down as much as 17% in polls in the final week of this campaign. It should be quite alarming to Clinton supporters that she was unable to hold the supposed lead there, particularly with Ohio upcoming in a week. This type of win has the potential to be a game-changer, especially seeing as how international trade came to be an effective weapon for him.

Of course, then reality sets in. It appears that the Michigan delegates will split close to 65-65. Being charitable to Senator Sanders, he might end up with 67 or 68 of the 130. Meanwhile in Mississippi, the current split is 32-5, in favor of Hillary Clinton and her 82.6% of the vote there last night. Even if we give him the win in Michigan and a 68-62 split, and give him the ten or so remaining super-delegates from there, he doesn't make a dent in the math. She would have to be awarded the four remaining delegates out of Mississippi under that same math. He would still lose last night. As is, if we give him a 68-62 elected delegate split, her margin in Mississippi was much bigger, and she got more delegates last night.

At this time, she leads 1,221 to 571. She needs 1,162 more delegates to win the nomination. She can lose the rest of the way, and possibly still clinch.

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