Sunday, February 28, 2016

The Game Changer in the Palmetto State?

With all the votes counted, it's fair to make a characterization of what happened in yesterday's South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary- Hillary Clinton won an epic landslide. Her 73.5%-26% win over Bernie Sanders was a route in every way- she won white women, African-Americans of all ages and genders, every county, and just about any other sub-section of the electorate you want to discuss.

When your win is in the neighborhood of 50%, you get to claim momentum. She did not close the process out last night, but she won at least 43 of the state's 59 delegates to Philadelphia this Summer, and proved that she is dominant amongst African-American electorates that will dominate on Tuesday. Her victory far dwarfs Senator Sanders' win in New Hampshire, both in size and in what it means for the future of this race. Perhaps most importantly, Hillary has now won the two states that did the most to derail her 2008 race- Iowa and South Carolina. She even has answered questions about her relationship to the African-American community after winning 87% of their votes in South Carolina.

The race isn't over, not yet at least. Senator Sanders won at least 14 delegates yesterday, meaning the day was not the total loss it seems to be. When you couple her South Carolina and Nevada wins though, Hillary has taken control of this race. Super Tuesday is certainly favorable to her on paper, and she has the momentum. For Bernie Sanders, a pathway to victory needs to start with an immediate turn around, or the race will be over.

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