Under Three Weeks Out From the 4/26 "Super Tuesday," Some Reality on the Presidential Race

On April 26th, voters here in Pennsylvania will go to the polls and vote in races for President, Senator, Congress, state row offices, and state legislative races. The Presidential primary is starting to get a lot of attention, and a lot of misinformation is being spread to "heighten the drama" on the race. Let me put some of that to rest.

• Hillary Clinton still holds a very large lead amongst pledged, or elected delegates, 1,280-1,030. That is a margin of 250, with 1,661 delegates remaining. Sanders will still close this gap a little bit next month when Washington finishes it's delegate allocation. Even then, he will remain substantially (like 220-225 delegates) behind. 
• Hillary leads Pennsylvania by either a solid margin, or a blowout. In the Harper Poll this week, she lead 55-33%, a blowout. There are just 12% undecided in that poll. In Quinnipiac's new poll it was closer, with Clinton leading 50-44%. That poll showed few undecideds though (6%) and that 80% had made up their minds. My guess is that it's actually between the two, with Clinton around 52%, and Sanders around 40%-ish. 
• Sanders does not have a single super-delegate from Pennsylvania at this time, that i've seen. No one is switching.

With all of that out of the way, Clinton leads the delegate count 1,749-1,061. Clinton needs 634 more delegates to win.